Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Gagner 46.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 81.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 69.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 71.7%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Richards
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Richards
Gagner
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
1
Richards
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
45.4% (4,699)
+5.0%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
51.5% (928)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
35.0% (226)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Richards
Gagner
Home
51.1% (2,671)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Richards
Gagner
P1
49.6%
44.6%
P2
50.3%
46.1%
P3
51.0%
47.3%
OT
50.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Brad Richards |