Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Gagner 44.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 88.4%
Defensive zone
Richards 80.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 85.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Richards
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Richards
Gagner
Last 6: Richards 6-0 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
43.1% (758)
+8.2%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
50.3% (147)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
34.6% (26)
-1.3%
On even strength, Richards has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Richards is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Richards shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Richards
Gagner
Home
49.9% (527)
47.4% (468)
Away
51.4% (463)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Richards
Gagner
P1
49.2%
43.8%
P2
50.7%
43.8%
P3
52.2%
44.0%
OT
45.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Brad Richards |