Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Ott 55.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 84.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 65.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 61.2%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Richards
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Richards
Ott
Last 10: Richards 5-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
6
Richards
Ott
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
3
Richards
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
57.2% (2,802)
-6.8%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
55.4% (567)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
49.9% (853)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Richards
Ott
Home
51.1% (2,671)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Richards
Ott
P1
49.6%
56.7%
P2
50.3%
53.9%
P3
51.0%
55.7%
OT
50.6%
60.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Brad Richards |