Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Ott 55.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 82.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 61.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 69.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Richards
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richards
Ott
Last 7: Richards 2-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Richards
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
3
Richards
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
56.9% (705)
-5.2%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
55.8% (154)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
48.3% (145)
+3.1%
On even strength, Ott has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. Ott is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Richards
Ott
Home
52.2% (668)
54.9% (526)
Away
51.4% (648)
56.1% (485)
By Period
Richards
Ott
P1
50.1%
55.4%
P2
52.4%
54.0%
P3
52.9%
56.1%
OT
52.4%
73.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Brad Richards |