Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Ott 54.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 88.5%
Defensive zone
Ott 54.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 66.8%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Richards
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richards
Ott
Last 6: Richards 2-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
3
Richards
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
59.6% (228)
-10.6%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
71.4% (7)
-32.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
38.8% (49)
+1.2%
On power play, Ott has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Ott is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Richards
Ott
Home
49.8% (424)
61.9% (126)
Away
46.9% (401)
51.9% (158)
By Period
Richards
Ott
P1
51.3%
65.4%
P2
44.8%
50.0%
P3
49.2%
55.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |