Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Zajac 54.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 28-21 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 90.9%
Defensive zone
Richards 64.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 75.1%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Richards
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
28
(49 meetings)
21
28
Richards
Zajac
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
9
2
Richards
Zajac
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
5
16
Richards
Zajac
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
7
10
Richards
Zajac
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
54.4% (9,056)
-4.0%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
59.1% (1,498)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
48.6% (1,599)
-7.3%
On power play, Zajac has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Richards
Zajac
Home
51.1% (2,671)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Richards
Zajac
P1
49.6%
53.8%
P2
50.3%
55.6%
P3
51.0%
53.6%
OT
50.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 11:39 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 02:20 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |