Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richards wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Zajac 54.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 64.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 83.0%
Neutral zone
Zajac 76.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Richards
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Richards
Zajac
Last 7: Richards 5-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Richards
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
4
0
Richards
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
53.9% (958)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
67.1% (146)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
52.5% (139)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Richards is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Richards shoots left. Zajac is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Richards
Zajac
Home
49.9% (527)
55.5% (627)
Away
51.4% (463)
55.1% (651)
By Period
Richards
Zajac
P1
49.2%
51.7%
P2
50.7%
58.5%
P3
52.2%
56.0%
OT
45.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2010 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 08:56 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |