Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Zajac 55.3% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 69.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 50.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 55.2%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Richards
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Richards
Zajac
Last 6: Richards 3-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Richards
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
57.8% (161)
-6.1%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
55.0% (20)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
52.9% (17)
-1.5%
On even strength, Zajac has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Richards is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Richards shoots left. Zajac is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Richards
Zajac
Home
52.2% (668)
59.1% (127)
Away
51.4% (648)
55.8% (77)
By Period
Richards
Zajac
P1
50.1%
59.7%
P2
52.4%
56.7%
P3
52.9%
56.7%
OT
52.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Brad Richards |