Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.7% vs Bozak 55.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 64.1%
Defensive zone
Bozak 52.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 56.6%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Richards
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Richards
Bozak
Last 7: Richards 3-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Richards
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
56.4% (837)
-9.2%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
60.8% (186)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (36)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Richards is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Richards shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Richards
Bozak
Home
52.0% (123)
58.7% (516)
Away
47.2% (127)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Richards
Bozak
P1
56.3%
55.7%
P2
42.0%
53.4%
P3
50.6%
59.7%
OT
100.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |