Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.7%). Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Johnson 49.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 21-9 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 71.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 57.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 52.8%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Richards
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
9
(30 meetings)
21
9
Richards
Johnson
Last 10: Richards 8-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
11
0
Richards
Johnson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Richards
Johnson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
49.8% (5,396)
+0.6%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
54.6% (885)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
42.3% (707)
-1.0%
On power play, Johnson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Richards
Johnson
Home
51.1% (2,671)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Richards
Johnson
P1
49.6%
50.1%
P2
50.3%
50.6%
P3
51.0%
48.4%
OT
50.6%
42.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |