Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 59.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 82.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 67.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Richards
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Richards
Seguin
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
1
Richards
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Richards
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
5
1
Richards
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.3%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
55.9% (810)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
49.3% (762)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Richards
Seguin
Home
51.1% (2,671)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Richards
Seguin
P1
49.6%
52.8%
P2
50.3%
53.3%
P3
51.0%
54.7%
OT
50.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |