Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Seguin 46.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 70.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 65.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 64.6%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Richards
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Richards
Seguin
Last 5: Richards 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
43.0% (86)
+8.7%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
47.4% (19)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
0.0% (1)
+51.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Richards is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Richards shoots left. Seguin is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Richards
Seguin
Home
52.2% (668)
48.9% (47)
Away
51.4% (648)
39.0% (59)
By Period
Richards
Seguin
P1
50.1%
41.9%
P2
52.4%
32.3%
P3
52.9%
53.3%
OT
52.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |