Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Seguin 42.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 90.9%
Defensive zone
Richards 65.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 77.7%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Richards
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Richards
Seguin
Last 5: Richards 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
41.1% (649)
+8.7%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
54.2% (24)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
25.0% (4)
-5.0%
On even strength, Richards has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Richards shoots left. Seguin is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Richards
Seguin
Home
51.1% (532)
44.4% (338)
Away
48.3% (497)
38.6% (339)
By Period
Richards
Seguin
P1
48.6%
37.8%
P2
51.0%
45.5%
P3
49.8%
41.9%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |