Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 25-18 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 75.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 71.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.5%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Richards
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
25
(43 meetings)
18
25
Richards
Smith
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
7
8
Richards
Smith
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
11
Richards
Smith
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Richards
Smith
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.2%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
51.2% (342)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
45.3% (985)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Richards
Smith
Home
51.1% (2,671)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Richards
Smith
P1
49.6%
49.9%
P2
50.3%
50.0%
P3
51.0%
51.9%
OT
50.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2013 | OT | 04:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Zack Smith |