Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richards wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Smith 52.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 86.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 59.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Richards
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richards
Smith
Last 5: Richards 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Richards
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Richards
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
53.0% (1,048)
-3.2%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
57.4% (47)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
50.0% (196)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Richards is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (639).
Richards shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Richards
Smith
Home
51.1% (532)
53.9% (629)
Away
48.3% (497)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Richards
Smith
P1
48.6%
50.4%
P2
51.0%
51.8%
P3
49.8%
56.4%
OT
43.8%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |