Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Richardson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Richardson 53.4% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 69.4%
Defensive zone
Richardson 92.6%
Neutral zone
Richardson 77.7%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Gaudette
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaudette
Richardson
Last 5: Gaudette 3-2 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Richardson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
1
Gaudette
Richardson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
1
Gaudette
Richardson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
55.4% (525)
-14.4%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
57.9% (19)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
46.5% (114)
-3.6%
On power play, Richardson has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Gaudette is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Gaudette shoots right. Richardson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Richardson
Home
46.0% (250)
56.7% (344)
Away
35.3% (204)
51.0% (314)
By Period
Gaudette
Richardson
P1
40.8%
48.8%
P2
42.8%
54.1%
P3
39.7%
58.4%
Final 5 min
42.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
41.2%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |