Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Richardson 53.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 52.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.1%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Smith
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Smith
Richardson
Last 7: Smith 3-4 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
1
Smith
Richardson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Richardson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
3
Smith
Richardson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
54.9% (5,037)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
56.8% (125)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
45.9% (1,001)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Home / Away
Smith
Richardson
Home
53.8% (860)
53.6% (3,164)
Away
49.8% (805)
53.3% (3,003)
By Period
Smith
Richardson
P1
52.1%
52.3%
P2
50.2%
54.2%
P3
53.3%
53.5%
OT
62.5%
61.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |