Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Richardson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 52.3% vs Richardson 54.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 76.6%
Defensive zone
Richardson 71.4%
Neutral zone
Richardson 58.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Jenner
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jenner
Richardson
Last 6: Jenner 3-3 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
3
Jenner
Richardson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Richardson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (234)
54.1% (861)
-0.3%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
82.4% (17)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
51.8% (83)
+5.3%
On power play, Richardson has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Jenner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Jenner shoots left. Richardson is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Jenner
Richardson
Home
55.1% (127)
53.2% (451)
Away
51.5% (167)
55.5% (510)
By Period
Jenner
Richardson
P1
46.2%
52.6%
P2
51.0%
54.4%
P3
61.2%
55.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |