Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Froese shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.0% vs Froese 48.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 72.1%
Defensive zone
Froese 86.0%
Neutral zone
Froese 75.0%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Richardson
Froese
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richardson
Froese
Last 7: Richardson 2-5 Froese
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Froese
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
1
4
Richardson
Froese
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Froese
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (861)
48.6% (461)
+5.5%
Power Play
82.4% (17)
28.6% (7)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (83)
48.3% (174)
+3.5%
On power play, Richardson has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Froese shoots right. Richardson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Richardson shoots left. Froese is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Richardson
Froese
Home
53.2% (451)
48.1% (312)
Away
55.5% (510)
48.5% (330)
By Period
Richardson
Froese
P1
52.6%
43.6%
P2
54.4%
48.4%
P3
55.7%
52.4%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Byron Froese |