Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Backes 55.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 76.3%
Defensive zone
Richardson 77.2%
Neutral zone
Richardson 58.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Richardson
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Richardson
Backes
Last 6: Richardson 3-3 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
2
Richardson
Backes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Backes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
55.7% (228)
+0.4%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
65.2% (66)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (210)
40.0% (15)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Richardson has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Richardson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Richardson shoots left. Backes is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Richardson
Backes
Home
55.3% (590)
55.9% (188)
Away
54.4% (461)
58.7% (121)
By Period
Richardson
Backes
P1
56.2%
53.0%
P2
56.4%
56.6%
P3
51.8%
60.8%
Final 5 min
55.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | David Backes |