Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.9% vs Nielsen 46.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 74.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 94.0%
Neutral zone
Richardson 83.3%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Richardson
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richardson
Nielsen
Last 6: Richardson 5-1 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
1
Richardson
Nielsen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
0
Richardson
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (830)
47.6% (836)
+7.0%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
53.2% (47)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
38.0% (158)
+4.3%
On power play, Nielsen has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Richardson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Richardson shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Richardson
Nielsen
Home
53.2% (485)
50.4% (508)
Away
51.1% (558)
42.6% (533)
By Period
Richardson
Nielsen
P1
53.9%
48.1%
P2
50.6%
44.6%
P3
51.5%
46.8%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |