Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.0% vs Stoll 56.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 56.7%
Defensive zone
Stoll 84.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 50.3%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Richardson
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Richardson
Stoll
Last 7: Richardson 5-2 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
0
Richardson
Stoll
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Richardson
Stoll
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (861)
57.7% (650)
-3.6%
Power Play
82.4% (17)
66.7% (15)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (83)
53.9% (178)
-2.1%
On power play, Richardson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Richardson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Richardson shoots left. Stoll is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Richardson
Stoll
Home
53.2% (451)
59.6% (421)
Away
55.5% (510)
54.5% (422)
By Period
Richardson
Stoll
P1
52.6%
55.4%
P2
54.4%
55.9%
P3
55.7%
59.9%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |