Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.9% vs Beagle 57.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 70.3%
Defensive zone
Richardson 68.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 66.0%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Richardson
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richardson
Beagle
Last 7: Richardson 2-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Richardson
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Richardson
Beagle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Richardson
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (830)
60.3% (735)
-5.7%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
42.9% (7)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
53.9% (256)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Richardson is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Richardson shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Richardson
Beagle
Home
53.2% (485)
61.9% (475)
Away
51.1% (558)
55.4% (523)
By Period
Richardson
Beagle
P1
53.9%
60.5%
P2
50.6%
54.4%
P3
51.5%
61.3%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |