Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.8% vs Thornton 50.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 86.7%
Defensive zone
Richardson 73.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 59.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Richardson
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Richardson
Thornton
Last 9: Richardson 3-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
4
Richardson
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
0
Richardson
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Richardson
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (177)
49.8% (544)
+4.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
54.5% (178)
-29.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
46.7% (15)
+2.3%
On power play, Thornton has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Richardson is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Richardson shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Richardson
Thornton
Home
48.5% (101)
54.9% (355)
Away
55.8% (129)
47.1% (382)
By Period
Richardson
Thornton
P1
45.5%
46.0%
P2
56.6%
52.5%
P3
54.5%
55.6%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |