Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Ward 48.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 86.6%
Defensive zone
Ward 66.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 69.4%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Richardson
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Richardson
Ward
Last 10: Richardson 4-6 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
2
Richardson
Ward
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
5
Richardson
Ward
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
3
Richardson
Ward
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
51.3% (1,186)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
53.4% (238)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
35.5% (366)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Richardson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Richardson shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Richardson
Ward
Home
53.6% (3,164)
50.3% (870)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Richardson
Ward
P1
52.3%
47.6%
P2
54.2%
47.5%
P3
53.5%
50.3%
OT
61.1%
30.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Joel Ward |