Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.0% vs Ward 48.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 76.5%
Defensive zone
Richardson 71.4%
Neutral zone
Richardson 83.4%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Richardson
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Richardson
Ward
Last 8: Richardson 5-3 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
1
Richardson
Ward
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Ward
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Richardson
Ward
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (861)
49.3% (353)
+4.8%
Power Play
82.4% (17)
69.0% (42)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (83)
34.7% (98)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Richardson has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Richardson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Richardson shoots left. Ward is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Richardson
Ward
Home
53.2% (451)
48.4% (219)
Away
55.5% (510)
47.8% (274)
By Period
Richardson
Ward
P1
52.6%
43.0%
P2
54.4%
51.4%
P3
55.7%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |