Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.0% vs Staal 57.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Richardson 57.9%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Richardson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richardson
Staal
Last 6: Richardson 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Richardson
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Richardson
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (861)
56.6% (1,075)
-2.5%
Power Play
82.4% (17)
66.7% (141)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (83)
58.1% (179)
-6.3%
On power play, Richardson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Richardson is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Richardson shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Richardson
Staal
Home
53.2% (451)
57.7% (735)
Away
55.5% (510)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Richardson
Staal
P1
52.6%
61.8%
P2
54.4%
55.7%
P3
55.7%
56.1%
OT
66.7%
56.8%
Final 5 min
56.6%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |