Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.6%). Look for Weal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Weal 54.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 70.9%
Defensive zone
Richardson 71.3%
Neutral zone
Weal 50.6%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Richardson
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Richardson
Weal
Last 7: Richardson 1-6 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
1
3
Richardson
Weal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
0
1
Richardson
Weal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
0
2
Richardson
Weal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
55.4% (551)
+0.7%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
64.3% (42)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (210)
16.7% (6)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Richardson has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Richardson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Richardson shoots left. Weal is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Richardson
Weal
Home
55.3% (590)
53.5% (269)
Away
54.4% (461)
57.3% (330)
By Period
Richardson
Weal
P1
56.2%
60.9%
P2
56.4%
56.3%
P3
51.8%
49.5%
Final 5 min
55.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |