Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Norris 52.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 59.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 84.7%
Neutral zone
Richardson 63.8%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Richardson
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Richardson
Norris
Last 7: Richardson 6-1 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
1
Richardson
Norris
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
0
Richardson
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
52.5% (3,057)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
53.7% (404)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
45.4% (240)
+0.5%
On power play, Richardson has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Richardson
Norris
Home
53.6% (3,164)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Richardson
Norris
P1
52.3%
55.6%
P2
54.2%
51.4%
P3
53.5%
50.1%
OT
61.1%
40.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |