Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 48.1% vs Turris 50.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 59.5%
Defensive zone
Richardson 67.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 67.4%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Richardson
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richardson
Turris
Last 7: Richardson 2-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
4
Richardson
Turris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Turris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (437)
49.4% (1,154)
+0.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
57.6% (217)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (134)
41.6% (101)
+0.9%
On power play, Turris has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Richardson is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Richardson shoots left. Turris is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Richardson
Turris
Home
45.9% (270)
54.7% (760)
Away
49.4% (308)
45.1% (712)
By Period
Richardson
Turris
P1
45.9%
54.1%
P2
46.5%
50.2%
P3
51.3%
45.2%
OT
33.3%
61.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
47.8%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |