Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Barzal 42.9% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 70.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 96.7%
Neutral zone
Richardson 93.8%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Richardson
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richardson
Barzal
Last 6: Richardson 5-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Richardson
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
0
Richardson
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (525)
40.7% (514)
+14.7%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
58.3% (24)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (114)
50.0% (10)
-3.5%
On even strength, Richardson has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Richardson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Richardson shoots left. Barzal is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Richardson
Barzal
Home
56.7% (344)
43.0% (279)
Away
51.0% (314)
40.1% (269)
By Period
Richardson
Barzal
P1
48.8%
41.2%
P2
54.1%
46.4%
P3
58.4%
37.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |