Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 54.1%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Koivu 54.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 69.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 74.7%
Neutral zone
Richardson 56.3%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Richardson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
23
(40 meetings)
17
23
Richardson
Koivu
Last 10: Richardson 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
13
Richardson
Koivu
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
10
3
Richardson
Koivu
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
7
Richardson
Koivu
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
54.0% (9,465)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
58.6% (2,100)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
48.9% (1,688)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Richardson
Koivu
Home
53.6% (3,164)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Richardson
Koivu
P1
52.3%
53.5%
P2
54.2%
54.6%
P3
53.5%
54.0%
OT
61.1%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 08:20 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |