Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.1%). Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Koivu 52.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 66.8%
Defensive zone
Richardson 73.4%
Neutral zone
Richardson 60.3%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Richardson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richardson
Koivu
Last 6: Richardson 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Richardson
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
1
Richardson
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (525)
53.9% (592)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
54.2% (96)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (114)
48.8% (123)
-2.3%
On power play, Richardson has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richardson is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Richardson shoots left. Koivu is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Richardson
Koivu
Home
56.7% (344)
52.8% (386)
Away
51.0% (314)
53.4% (425)
By Period
Richardson
Koivu
P1
48.8%
51.7%
P2
54.1%
54.8%
P3
58.4%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 08:20 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |