Brad Richardson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.7% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 92.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 85.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 86.7%
13.3%
86.7%
Richardson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richardson
MacKinnon
Last 5: Richardson 1-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Richardson
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (803)
42.0% (407)
+14.8%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
51.2% (43)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (148)
50.0% (2)
-4.1%
On even strength, Richardson has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Richardson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Richardson shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Richardson
MacKinnon
Home
54.6% (577)
42.1% (202)
Away
56.0% (389)
43.6% (250)
By Period
Richardson
MacKinnon
P1
49.0%
43.3%
P2
60.9%
41.5%
P3
54.6%
44.2%
OT
54.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
55.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |