Brad Richardson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.0%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 48.1% vs MacKinnon 47.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 84.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Richardson 51.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Richardson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Richardson
MacKinnon
Last 6: Richardson 1-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Richardson
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Richardson
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (437)
45.2% (365)
+4.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
57.1% (63)
-14.2%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Richardson is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Richardson shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Richardson
MacKinnon
Home
45.9% (270)
48.0% (225)
Away
49.4% (308)
45.8% (203)
By Period
Richardson
MacKinnon
P1
45.9%
41.1%
P2
46.5%
49.6%
P3
51.3%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
47.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |