Brad Richardson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Richardson wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.8% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.3%
Defensive zone
Richardson 67.7%
Neutral zone
Richardson 55.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Richardson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Richardson
MacKinnon
Last 10: Richardson 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
5
Richardson
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
0
Richardson
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
0
Richardson
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (177)
49.3% (1,167)
+4.9%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
61.0% (187)
-36.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
47.9% (167)
+1.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Richardson is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Richardson shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Richardson
MacKinnon
Home
48.5% (101)
57.7% (728)
Away
55.8% (129)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Richardson
MacKinnon
P1
45.5%
50.1%
P2
56.6%
52.5%
P3
54.5%
49.3%
OT
75.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.6%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |