Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Richardson wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.0% vs Stastny 55.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.5%
Defensive zone
Richardson 59.7%
Neutral zone
Richardson 57.1%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Richardson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Richardson
Stastny
Last 9: Richardson 3-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Richardson
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Richardson
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (861)
56.5% (967)
-2.4%
Power Play
82.4% (17)
58.4% (125)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (83)
50.8% (128)
+1.0%
On power play, Richardson has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Richardson is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Richardson shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Richardson
Stastny
Home
53.2% (451)
56.8% (590)
Away
55.5% (510)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Richardson
Stastny
P1
52.6%
59.7%
P2
54.4%
54.8%
P3
55.7%
53.8%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |