Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 48.1% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 81.0%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 52.2%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 53.1%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Richardson
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Richardson
Getzlaf
Last 7: Richardson 5-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
0
Richardson
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (437)
50.6% (1,060)
-1.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
48.3% (118)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (134)
54.9% (71)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Richardson is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Richardson shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Richardson
Getzlaf
Home
45.9% (270)
51.9% (622)
Away
49.4% (308)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Richardson
Getzlaf
P1
45.9%
49.4%
P2
46.5%
53.1%
P3
51.3%
50.5%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
47.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2014 | OT | 04:20 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |