Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 27-14 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Richardson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Richardson 80.2%
Neutral zone
Richardson 69.8%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Richardson
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
27
(41 meetings)
14
27
Richardson
Kesler
Last 10: Richardson 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
10
Richardson
Kesler
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
7
Richardson
Kesler
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
10
Richardson
Kesler
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
56.4% (8,095)
-1.5%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
60.7% (1,437)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
50.5% (1,908)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Richardson shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Richardson
Kesler
Home
53.6% (3,164)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Richardson
Kesler
P1
52.3%
56.5%
P2
54.2%
55.9%
P3
53.5%
56.1%
OT
61.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |