Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 48.1% vs Kesler 56.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richardson 76.6%
Defensive zone
Richardson 74.1%
Neutral zone
Richardson 77.4%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Richardson
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Richardson
Kesler
Last 10: Richardson 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Richardson
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Richardson
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Richardson
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (437)
57.4% (1,185)
-8.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
58.0% (243)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (134)
49.2% (236)
-6.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Richardson is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Richardson shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Richardson
Kesler
Home
45.9% (270)
58.5% (793)
Away
49.4% (308)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Richardson
Kesler
P1
45.9%
57.0%
P2
46.5%
55.4%
P3
51.3%
56.7%
OT
33.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
47.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2014 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |