Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Koivu 51.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Richardson 51.6%
Defensive zone
Richardson 64.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 67.2%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Richardson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Richardson
Koivu
Last 10: Richardson 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
5
4
Richardson
Koivu
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
4
Richardson
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
7
3
Richardson
Koivu
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
51.9% (3,221)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
59.3% (437)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
48.0% (764)
-2.1%
On even strength, Richardson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Richardson
Koivu
Home
53.6% (3,164)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Richardson
Koivu
P1
52.3%
51.1%
P2
54.2%
52.6%
P3
53.5%
51.8%
OT
61.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2014 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 5, 2014 | OT | 00:06 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |