Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 50.5% vs Koivu 52.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 60.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 78.0%
Neutral zone
Richardson 50.6%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Richardson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Richardson
Koivu
Last 9: Richardson 5-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Richardson
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
1
Richardson
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (167)
52.7% (873)
+0.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
63.1% (168)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
47.9% (267)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richardson is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Richardson shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
Richardson
Koivu
Home
46.2% (104)
56.7% (601)
Away
57.1% (77)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Richardson
Koivu
P1
50.0%
51.2%
P2
50.7%
55.2%
P3
52.2%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
37.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
50.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |