Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 48.1% vs Monahan 49.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 67.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 64.3%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Richardson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Richardson
Monahan
Last 9: Richardson 3-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Richardson
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Richardson
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (437)
49.0% (1,435)
+0.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
50.2% (281)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (134)
50.9% (114)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Richardson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Richardson shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Richardson
Monahan
Home
45.9% (270)
51.2% (936)
Away
49.4% (308)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Richardson
Monahan
P1
45.9%
48.8%
P2
46.5%
48.9%
P3
51.3%
50.2%
OT
33.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
47.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |