Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Nosek 50.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 84.6%
Defensive zone
Richardson 68.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 55.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Richardson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Richardson
Nosek
Last 5: Richardson 2-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Richardson
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Richardson
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (525)
51.2% (377)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
50.0% (10)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (114)
41.3% (46)
+5.2%
On power play, Richardson has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Richardson is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Richardson shoots left. Nosek is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Richardson
Nosek
Home
56.7% (344)
48.3% (240)
Away
51.0% (314)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Richardson
Nosek
P1
48.8%
48.4%
P2
54.1%
51.4%
P3
58.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
53.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |