Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.7% vs Lewis 48.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 75.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 70.3%
Neutral zone
Lewis 57.5%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Richardson
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Richardson
Lewis
Last 8: Richardson 4-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Richardson
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Richardson
Lewis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (803)
48.5% (231)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
25.0% (8)
+35.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (148)
56.5% (23)
-10.6%
On power play, Richardson has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Richardson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Richardson shoots left. Lewis is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Richardson
Lewis
Home
54.6% (577)
47.5% (118)
Away
56.0% (389)
49.3% (144)
By Period
Richardson
Lewis
P1
49.0%
44.4%
P2
60.9%
46.2%
P3
54.6%
55.3%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
55.2%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |