Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.9% vs Brouwer 47.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 59.9%
Defensive zone
Richardson 62.0%
Neutral zone
Richardson 52.0%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Richardson
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Richardson
Brouwer
Last 6: Richardson 3-3 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
3
Richardson
Brouwer
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Brouwer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (830)
46.5% (99)
+8.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
56.0% (25)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
44.1% (93)
-1.8%
On power play, Brouwer has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Richardson is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Richardson shoots left. Brouwer is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Richardson
Brouwer
Home
53.2% (485)
47.7% (111)
Away
51.1% (558)
45.3% (106)
By Period
Richardson
Brouwer
P1
53.9%
50.8%
P2
50.6%
50.0%
P3
51.5%
40.8%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.1%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |