Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 48.1% vs Bozak 53.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Richardson 52.7%
Defensive zone
Richardson 70.2%
Neutral zone
Richardson 72.3%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Richardson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Richardson
Bozak
Last 10: Richardson 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Richardson
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Richardson
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Richardson
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (437)
53.8% (1,244)
-4.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
53.1% (356)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (134)
49.1% (175)
-6.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Richardson is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Richardson shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Home / Away
Richardson
Bozak
Home
45.9% (270)
57.7% (892)
Away
49.4% (308)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Richardson
Bozak
P1
45.9%
54.0%
P2
46.5%
54.4%
P3
51.3%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
47.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |