Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.3%). Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Bozak 53.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 85.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 60.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 53.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Richardson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richardson
Bozak
Last 6: Richardson 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Richardson
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Richardson
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
55.4% (719)
+0.7%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
45.1% (51)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (210)
50.0% (60)
-1.0%
On power play, Richardson has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Richardson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Richardson shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Richardson
Bozak
Home
55.3% (590)
55.5% (443)
Away
54.4% (461)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Richardson
Bozak
P1
56.2%
53.3%
P2
56.4%
54.7%
P3
51.8%
55.4%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |