Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Giroux 58.3% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 53.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 78.7%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Tkachuk
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tkachuk
Giroux
Last 6: Tkachuk 1-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Tkachuk
Giroux
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Tkachuk
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
3
Tkachuk
Giroux
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
58.6% (787)
-11.7%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
59.3% (194)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
61.3% (142)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Tkachuk is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Tkachuk shoots left. Giroux is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Giroux
Home
47.6% (168)
61.3% (568)
Away
44.4% (144)
56.8% (555)
By Period
Tkachuk
Giroux
P1
49.1%
59.6%
P2
42.9%
58.9%
P3
46.5%
58.5%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |