Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorsky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Dvorsky 47.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorsky 60.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 56.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Tkachuk
Dvorsky
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
Dvorsky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Dvorsky
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Dvorsky
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
47.6% (550)
+7.3%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
42.9% (77)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorsky shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Dvorsky
Home
50.8% (128)
47.3% (298)
Away
62.9% (132)
46.8% (331)
By Period
Tkachuk
Dvorsky
P1
56.6%
48.4%
P2
58.9%
45.7%
P3
56.2%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Dvorsky
48.0%▲
44.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |